Volcano eruption prediction: Geologists develop new technique to forecast eruptions | Science | News

Volcanologists used an array of field techniques combined with statistical and numerical modelling.

This garnered data from the deposits, allowing the characterisation and classification of an eruption on one of the most commonly-used scales, the Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI).

Robert Constantinescu, a USF doctoral candidate, revealed how until now, the most sought-after information is the eruption column height and the total erupted mass or volume.

This is insufficient for predicting future eruptions, as deposits easily erode, meaning they paint an uncertain picture of older eruptions.


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