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Is the worst finally over for the market? Stocks stage a comeback


The Dow was up slightly in late afternoon trading, recovering from a drop of nearly 475 points earlier in the session. The blue chips are still down 13% this year, however, and hit a new 52-week low Thursday morning before rebounding.
The S&P 500, which is perilously close to dropping 20% from the all-time high it set on January 3 and into a bear market, was up 0.5%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq, which is already in bear market territory, gained 1%. The Nasdaq has still plunged 26% just this year.
Prominent tech stocks were among the bigger market losers Thursday after Dow component Cisco reported sales that missed forecasts and also gave a weak outlook. Cisco (CSCO) plummeted nearly 14% on the news.
But Kohl’s (KSS) shares were up nearly 5% Thursday in volatile trading even though the struggling chain reported a huge miss on earnings and cut its guidance.

The poor results from corporate leaders are raising recession alarm bells, too. More experts are starting to predict a downturn later this year or in early 2023. The unease on Wall Street is palpable.

“What’s the catalyst? What will make investors want to buy more and give them confidence in the market? I don’t think there is anything right now,” “said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist with tastytrade.

The VIX (VIX), a measure of Wall Street volatility, has soared more than 70% this year. And the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index, which looks at the VIX and six other measures of market sentiment, is flashing signs of Extreme Fear.

“Investors should keep their seat belts fastened. This period of volatility is not likely to be over,” said Tom Galvin , chief investment officer with City National Rochdale.

“There is a long list of uncertainties,” Galvin added, citing Federal Reserve rate policy and inflation, worries about new Covid outbreaks in China and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as lingering concerns.

Galvin said investors would do well to avoid speculative tech stocks and European stocks due to worries about excessive valuations and a potential economic downturn. Instead, he recommends quality blue chip stocks that pay steady dividends.

Investors may also be growing nervous about how the market turmoil is hurting big hedge funds and other institutional investment firms.

Buffett says Berkshire's success is more about being 'sane' than 'smart'
One prominent hedge fund, Melvin Capital, announced plans to shut down after betting against surging meme stocks like GameStop (GME) in 2021 and making ill-timed buys of travel stocks this year.
Traders have been bailing on risky momentum tech stocks, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies and other investments that could benefit from an economic rebound.

“There is definitely more fear and nervousness,” said Dan Pipitone, CEO and co-founder with TradeZero. “The crypto crash is having an impact, too. There is a wait and see approach. People are sitting on the sidelines waiting for clear direction about where we’re going.”

Instead, investors are now flocking to stocks that are perceived to be better hedges against, and in some cases beneficiaries of, inflation and rising interest rates.
Case in point? Oil stocks are big market winners this year. Chevron (CVX), up more than 40%, is the top Dow stock, and it’s one of the largest four holdings in Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB), which is soundly beating the market this year.
Berkshire also is a big investor in Occidental Petroleum (OXY), which has more than doubled this year and is the best performer in the S&P 500.



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